Both grandmasters Andrey Esipenko and Anish Giri enter Round 4 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open section on 1/3 points after Round 1 losses followed by draws against elite opposition—Esipenko holding Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum, Giri drawing Fabiano Caruana and Nakamura in high-accuracy battles. This resilience underscores trader consensus pricing a draw at 71.5%, reflecting the solid defenses and preparation typical in classical chess at this level, where early rounds have seen frequent stalemates amid leaders Caruana and Sindarov at 2.5 points. Esipenko's slight edge (14%) over Giri (12%) ties to white-piece advantage and dynamic recovery play, though Giri's higher 2753 rating tempers upset potential in this crucial matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Both grandmasters Andrey Esipenko and Anish Giri enter Round 4 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open section on 1/3 points after Round 1 losses followed by draws against elite opposition—Esipenko holding Hikaru Nakamura and Matthias Bluebaum, Giri drawing Fabiano Caruana and Nakamura in high-accuracy battles. This resilience underscores trader consensus pricing a draw at 71.5%, reflecting the solid defenses and preparation typical in classical chess at this level, where early rounds have seen frequent stalemates amid leaders Caruana and Sindarov at 2.5 points. Esipenko's slight edge (14%) over Giri (12%) ties to white-piece advantage and dynamic recovery play, though Giri's higher 2753 rating tempers upset potential in this crucial matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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