California's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent's 74 percent share of the 2024 general election vote and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19. John Garamendi, the longtime Democratic representative, faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration edge and historical results in this safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected Democratic primary outcome or a substantial national political shift before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-08
$13,300 Vol.
$13,300 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$13,300 Vol.
$13,300 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,798 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$6,501 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent's 74 percent share of the 2024 general election vote and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19. John Garamendi, the longtime Democratic representative, faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration edge and historical results in this safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected Democratic primary outcome or a substantial national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$13,300Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent's 74 percent share of the 2024 general election vote and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19. John Garamendi, the longtime Democratic representative, faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration edge and historical results in this safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected Democratic primary outcome or a substantial national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,300Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent's 74 percent share of the 2024 general election vote and a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19. John Garamendi, the longtime Democratic representative, faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration edge and historical results in this safely Democratic seat. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected Democratic primary outcome or a substantial national political shift before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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