Bayern München's 75% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their atop-the-Bundesliga-table position and flawless recent head-to-head dominance, winning the last five clashes including 3-1 and 3-2 victories this season and last. St. Pauli's 16th-place standing, with a dismal 6-6-15 record marked by poor home form, fuels their slim 10.5% win odds amid key injuries like defender Ritzka's shoulder issue sidelining him until mid-April. Bayern's 12-game unbeaten streak, highlighted by a 4-0 rout of Union Berlin on March 21 despite lingering Musiala ankle and Davies hamstring concerns, underscores squad depth positioning them strongly for the April 11 Millerntor-Stadion test, while draw pricing at 15.5% reflects St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München's 75% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their atop-the-Bundesliga-table position and flawless recent head-to-head dominance, winning the last five clashes including 3-1 and 3-2 victories this season and last. St. Pauli's 16th-place standing, with a dismal 6-6-15 record marked by poor home form, fuels their slim 10.5% win odds amid key injuries like defender Ritzka's shoulder issue sidelining him until mid-April. Bayern's 12-game unbeaten streak, highlighted by a 4-0 rout of Union Berlin on March 21 despite lingering Musiala ankle and Davies hamstring concerns, underscores squad depth positioning them strongly for the April 11 Millerntor-Stadion test, while draw pricing at 15.5% reflects St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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