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Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai

Market icon

Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai

Aucun changement 84%

Baisse 15%

Augmentation 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,026 Vol.

Aucun changement 84%

Baisse 15%

Augmentation 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,026 Vol.

Baisse

$2,504 Vol.

15%

Aucun changement

$4,509 Vol.

84%

Augmentation

$3,013 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote. Despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in mid-March—prompting upward revisions to 2026 forecasts—Banxico prioritized softening economic activity and Middle East geopolitical risks, though Governor Victoria Rodriguez signaled the easing cycle is nearing an end just days ago. A 14.5% chance of decrease stems from persistent growth worries, while hikes at 2.6% remain unlikely amid the dovish bias; April CPI data will be pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,026
Date de fin
7 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 in a divided 3-2 vote. Despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in mid-March—prompting upward revisions to 2026 forecasts—Banxico prioritized softening economic activity and Middle East geopolitical risks, though Governor Victoria Rodriguez signaled the easing cycle is nearing an end just days ago. A 14.5% chance of decrease stems from persistent growth worries, while hikes at 2.6% remain unlikely amid the dovish bias; April CPI data will be pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$10,026
Date de fin
7 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun changement » à 84%, suivi de « Baisse » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 84¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai » a généré $10K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai » est « Aucun changement » à 84%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Baisse » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.