Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or tightly clusters Lamine Yamal at 32%, Kylian Mbappé at 24.5%, and Harry Kane at 24.4%, reflecting uncertainty around the 2026 World Cup's decisive influence on individual accolades. Yamal's meteoric rise at Barcelona, fueled by Euro 2024 brilliance and Spain's international edge, edges him ahead, but Mbappé's Real Madrid firepower—pairing with Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham for Champions League pursuits—keeps France's star in striking distance. Kane's prolific Bayern output and England's contender status sustain his bid, as traders weigh youth potential against proven goal hauls amid volatile club trophy races and national team heroics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur du Ballond'Or 2026
Vainqueur du Ballond'Or 2026
Lamine Yamal 32%
Kylian Mbappé 25%
Harry Kane 24.4%
Pedri 4.0%
$910,474 Vol.
$910,474 Vol.
Lamine Yamal
32%
Kylian Mbappé
25%
Harry Kane
24%
Pedri
4%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Jude Bellingham
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Erling Haaland
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Lamine Yamal 32%
Kylian Mbappé 25%
Harry Kane 24.4%
Pedri 4.0%
$910,474 Vol.
$910,474 Vol.
Lamine Yamal
32%
Kylian Mbappé
25%
Harry Kane
24%
Pedri
4%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Jude Bellingham
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Erling Haaland
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or tightly clusters Lamine Yamal at 32%, Kylian Mbappé at 24.5%, and Harry Kane at 24.4%, reflecting uncertainty around the 2026 World Cup's decisive influence on individual accolades. Yamal's meteoric rise at Barcelona, fueled by Euro 2024 brilliance and Spain's international edge, edges him ahead, but Mbappé's Real Madrid firepower—pairing with Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham for Champions League pursuits—keeps France's star in striking distance. Kane's prolific Bayern output and England's contender status sustain his bid, as traders weigh youth potential against proven goal hauls amid volatile club trophy races and national team heroics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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