Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza's fundraising momentum—nearly $2.9 million raised through late 2025, competitive cash on hand, and fresh endorsements like the Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council on March 27—positioning her strongly against vulnerable incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in the July 21 primaries. This evenly divided battleground, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report and others as of mid-March, saw Trump prevail by under one point in 2024 amid Ciscomani's narrow prior victories; early October 2025 polling showed Mendoza edging Ciscomani 42%-41%, amplifying Dem optimism in midterm cycle targeting despite uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAZ-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
76%
Parti républicain
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
76%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza's fundraising momentum—nearly $2.9 million raised through late 2025, competitive cash on hand, and fresh endorsements like the Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council on March 27—positioning her strongly against vulnerable incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in the July 21 primaries. This evenly divided battleground, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report and others as of mid-March, saw Trump prevail by under one point in 2024 amid Ciscomani's narrow prior victories; early October 2025 polling showed Mendoza edging Ciscomani 42%-41%, amplifying Dem optimism in midterm cycle targeting despite uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza's fundraising momentum—nearly $2.9 million raised through late 2025, competitive cash on hand, and fresh endorsements like the Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council on March 27—positioning her strongly against vulnerable incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in the July 21 primaries. This evenly divided battleground, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report and others as of mid-March, saw Trump prevail by under one point in 2024 amid Ciscomani's narrow prior victories; early October 2025 polling showed Mendoza edging Ciscomani 42%-41%, amplifying Dem optimism in midterm cycle targeting despite uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Arizona's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by frontrunner JoAnna Mendoza's fundraising momentum—nearly $2.9 million raised through late 2025, competitive cash on hand, and fresh endorsements like the Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council on March 27—positioning her strongly against vulnerable incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani in the July 21 primaries. This evenly divided battleground, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report and others as of mid-March, saw Trump prevail by under one point in 2024 amid Ciscomani's narrow prior victories; early October 2025 polling showed Mendoza edging Ciscomani 42%-41%, amplifying Dem optimism in midterm cycle targeting despite uncertainties ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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