Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 form, including wins at the Players and Genesis, plus two green jackets since 2022, drives his 16.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite amid a wide-open Masters field at Augusta National. Rory McIlroy's elite driving distance tempts at 8.5%, but recent putting inconsistencies cap his Grand Slam pursuit; Jon Rahm's 2023 victory and LIV ball-striking edge him to 6.8%, while Bryson DeChambeau's power and major pedigree yield 6.5%. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) impresses with runner-up finishes in recent majors, differentiating via precision iron play on Augusta's demanding layout, where strokes gained tee-to-green and course history historically predict contention despite inevitable upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.8%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$54,402,723 Vol.
$54,402,723 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 9%
Jon Rahm 6.8%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
$54,402,723 Vol.
$54,402,723 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 form, including wins at the Players and Genesis, plus two green jackets since 2022, drives his 16.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite amid a wide-open Masters field at Augusta National. Rory McIlroy's elite driving distance tempts at 8.5%, but recent putting inconsistencies cap his Grand Slam pursuit; Jon Rahm's 2023 victory and LIV ball-striking edge him to 6.8%, while Bryson DeChambeau's power and major pedigree yield 6.5%. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) impresses with runner-up finishes in recent majors, differentiating via precision iron play on Augusta's demanding layout, where strokes gained tee-to-green and course history historically predict contention despite inevitable upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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