Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Hill secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 76.8 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced easily on his side. A late-May internal poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Hill’s established incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the Republican nominee. No major new developments have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$2,318 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$5,918 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Hill secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 76.8 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced easily on his side. A late-May internal poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Hill’s established incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the Republican nominee. No major new developments have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$8,235Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Hill secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 76.8 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced easily on his side. A late-May internal poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Hill’s established incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the Republican nominee. No major new developments have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,235Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Hill secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 76.8 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced easily on his side. A late-May internal poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Hill’s established incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around an 87 percent probability for the Republican nominee. No major new developments have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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