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Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?

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Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$78,044 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$78,044 Vol.

On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,044
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 27, 2024, 1:33 PM ET
On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,044
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 27, 2024, 1:33 PM ET
On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?" has generated $78K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 27, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.