Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$280-$285 26%
$275-$280 25%
$285-$290 23%
$270-$275 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 mai 2026
<$250
12%
$250-$255
11%
$255-$260
13%
$260-$265
10%
$265-$270
14%
$270-$275
22%
$275-$280
25%
$280-$285
26%
$285-$290
23%
$290-$295
13%
>$295
17%
$280-$285 26%
$275-$280 25%
$285-$290 23%
$270-$275 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 mai 2026
<$250
$0 Vol.
12%
$250-$255
$0 Vol.
11%
$255-$260
$0 Vol.
13%
$260-$265
$0 Vol.
10%
$265-$270
$0 Vol.
14%
$270-$275
$0 Vol.
22%
$275-$280
$0 Vol.
25%
$280-$285
$0 Vol.
26%
$285-$290
$0 Vol.
23%
$290-$295
$0 Vol.
13%
>$295
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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