Gregg Hull holds a commanding position in the New Mexico Republican primary for governor due to his twelve-year record as Rio Rancho mayor, which has delivered broad name recognition and organizational strength across the state. He secured more than 55 percent of delegate support at the March pre-primary convention, outpacing Doug Turner and positioning both on the June 2 ballot alongside Duke Rodriguez. Recent polling shows Hull maintaining a narrow lead at 33 percent to Turner’s 30 percent with 25 percent undecided, though Turner has closed the gap since earlier surveys. Traders’ consensus assigns Hull an 88 percent implied probability, reflecting his established incumbency-like advantages in a compressed campaign window where late shifts remain possible but face structural headwinds from voter familiarity and party infrastructure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGreg Hull 88%
Doug Turner 8.5%
Duke Rodriguez 3.5%
Brian Cillessen <1%
$997,013 Vol.
$997,013 Vol.
Greg Hull
88%
Doug Turner
9%
Duke Rodriguez
3%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Steve Lanier
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
Susana Martinez
<1%
Greg Hull 88%
Doug Turner 8.5%
Duke Rodriguez 3.5%
Brian Cillessen <1%
$997,013 Vol.
$997,013 Vol.
Greg Hull
88%
Doug Turner
9%
Duke Rodriguez
3%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Steve Lanier
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
Susana Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregg Hull holds a commanding position in the New Mexico Republican primary for governor due to his twelve-year record as Rio Rancho mayor, which has delivered broad name recognition and organizational strength across the state. He secured more than 55 percent of delegate support at the March pre-primary convention, outpacing Doug Turner and positioning both on the June 2 ballot alongside Duke Rodriguez. Recent polling shows Hull maintaining a narrow lead at 33 percent to Turner’s 30 percent with 25 percent undecided, though Turner has closed the gap since earlier surveys. Traders’ consensus assigns Hull an 88 percent implied probability, reflecting his established incumbency-like advantages in a compressed campaign window where late shifts remain possible but face structural headwinds from voter familiarity and party infrastructure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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