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icon for Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ?

Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ?

icon for Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ?

Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ?

260-279 37.5%

240-259 26.2%

280-299 20.8%

300-319 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,445,249 Vol.

260-279 37.5%

240-259 26.2%

280-299 20.8%

300-319 10.8%

Polymarket

$4,445,249 Vol.

200-219

$440,336 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$341,323 Vol.

3%

240-259

$300,576 Vol.

26%

260-279

$293,387 Vol.

38%

280-299

$274,047 Vol.

21%

300-319

$235,475 Vol.

11%

320-339

$260,984 Vol.

4%

340-359

$173,287 Vol.

2%

360-379

$142,343 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$104,605 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$100,008 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$31,195 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$21,643 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$8,646 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$8,646 Vol.

<1%

500+

$55,161 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s elevated posting pace on X has positioned the 260-279 tweet range as the clear market leader at 37.4% implied probability, with 240-259 close behind at 24.5%. Traders are tracking his recent daily output of 12–22 posts, which has held steady amid ongoing commentary on Tesla autonomy, SpaceX Starship tests, Grok features, and political topics. With the Aug 14–21 window nearly complete, the consensus reflects observed volume plus expected activity on the final day rather than any single catalyst. Historical patterns of 20–40+ daily tweets during active periods reinforce this pricing, though last-minute shifts in engagement could still nudge the total.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,445,249
Date de fin
21 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Résultat proposé: No

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s elevated posting pace on X has positioned the 260-279 tweet range as the clear market leader at 37.4% implied probability, with 240-259 close behind at 24.5%. Traders are tracking his recent daily output of 12–22 posts, which has held steady amid ongoing commentary on Tesla autonomy, SpaceX Starship tests, Grok features, and political topics. With the Aug 14–21 window nearly complete, the consensus reflects observed volume plus expected activity on the final day rather than any single catalyst. Historical patterns of 20–40+ daily tweets during active periods reinforce this pricing, though last-minute shifts in engagement could still nudge the total.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,445,249
Date de fin
21 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Résultat proposé: No

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 26 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 260-279 » à 38%, suivi de « 240-259 » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ? » a généré $4.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ? », parcourez les 26 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ? » est « 260-279 » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 240-259 » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Elon Musk # tweete du 14 août au 21 août 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.