Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's third overall pick reflects a dead heat among elite underclassmen, with Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., and Mason Graham hovering at 50% implied probabilities due to their dominant 2024 campaigns—Banks anchoring Texas' line with elite pass protection, Pearce terrorizing quarterbacks for Tennessee sacks, and Graham fortifying Michigan's front. Malaki Starks trails closely at 49% on Georgia's playmaking safety versatility. This parity stems from comparable blue-chip traits, positional scarcity for edge rushers, tackles, interiors, and ballhawks, plus uncertainty in 2025 college production and the unknown draft order from NFL standings. Preseason mocks vary wildly, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDavid Bailey 67%
Caleb Downs 34.3%
Jordyn Tyson 34.3%
Carnell Tate 33.6%
David Bailey
67%
Caleb Downs
34%
Jordyn Tyson
34%
Carnell Tate
34%
Peter Woods
33%
Keldric Faulk
32%
Francis Mauigoa
24%
Rueben Bain Jr.
10%
Arvell Reese
9%
Sonny Styles
9%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Kadyn Proctor
6%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Garrett Nussmeier
2%
Drew Allar
1%
Dante Moore
17%
Carson Beck
32%
Trevor Goosby
34%
Kayden McDonald
32%
Jeremiyah Love
34%
Spencer Fano
37%
David Bailey 67%
Caleb Downs 34.3%
Jordyn Tyson 34.3%
Carnell Tate 33.6%
David Bailey
67%
Caleb Downs
34%
Jordyn Tyson
34%
Carnell Tate
34%
Peter Woods
33%
Keldric Faulk
32%
Francis Mauigoa
24%
Rueben Bain Jr.
10%
Arvell Reese
9%
Sonny Styles
9%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Kadyn Proctor
6%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Garrett Nussmeier
2%
Drew Allar
1%
Dante Moore
17%
Carson Beck
32%
Trevor Goosby
34%
Kayden McDonald
32%
Jeremiyah Love
34%
Spencer Fano
37%
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 NFL Draft's third overall pick reflects a dead heat among elite underclassmen, with Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., and Mason Graham hovering at 50% implied probabilities due to their dominant 2024 campaigns—Banks anchoring Texas' line with elite pass protection, Pearce terrorizing quarterbacks for Tennessee sacks, and Graham fortifying Michigan's front. Malaki Starks trails closely at 49% on Georgia's playmaking safety versatility. This parity stems from comparable blue-chip traits, positional scarcity for edge rushers, tackles, interiors, and ballhawks, plus uncertainty in 2025 college production and the unknown draft order from NFL standings. Preseason mocks vary wildly, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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