Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 26.8% implied probability after dominating Arkansas in the Sweet 16 to reach the Elite Eight versus Purdue, bolstered by its elite defense and freshman leadership from players like Koa Peat amid a 35-2 season. Michigan and Duke trail closely at 22.5% each, with the Wolverines surging past Alabama in a record offensive showing and the Blue Devils rallying against St. John's thanks to Caleb Foster's rapid return from a foot fracture, though both carry deeper injury concerns and tougher brackets. Illinois at 12% surges on a defensive clampdown upsetting Houston 65-55, highlighting Big Ten depth keeping the race tight among battle-tested No. 1 seeds amid March Madness upset potential.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourArizona 26.8%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,029,784 Vol.
$22,029,784 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
5%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
Arizona 26.8%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,029,784 Vol.
$22,029,784 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
5%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Marché ouvert : Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title at 26.8% implied probability after dominating Arkansas in the Sweet 16 to reach the Elite Eight versus Purdue, bolstered by its elite defense and freshman leadership from players like Koa Peat amid a 35-2 season. Michigan and Duke trail closely at 22.5% each, with the Wolverines surging past Alabama in a record offensive showing and the Blue Devils rallying against St. John's thanks to Caleb Foster's rapid return from a foot fracture, though both carry deeper injury concerns and tougher brackets. Illinois at 12% surges on a defensive clampdown upsetting Houston 65-55, highlighting Big Ten depth keeping the race tight among battle-tested No. 1 seeds amid March Madness upset potential.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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