Arizona's slight edge in trader consensus at 19.4% stems from coach Tommy Lloyd's elite 2025 recruiting class, including top-10 prospects like Dwayne Aristode, paired with significant returning production from K.J. Lewis and others, positioning them for Big 12 dominance. Michigan (18.5%) and Duke (16.5%) trail closely due to Dusty May's transfer portal wizardry bolstering Michigan's frontcourt and Duke's perennial pipeline of McDonald's All-Americans under Jon Scheyer, though both face roster flux from the offseason portal. Florida and Houston round out the top five with defensive identities and SEC/Big 12 toughness, but parity persists amid unproven freshmen integration, transfer acclimation, and the wide-open nature of March Madness paths—no dominant superteam has emerged to pull away.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMichigan 20%
Arizona 19.4%
Duke 17%
Floride 9.8%
$22,032,825 Vol.
$22,032,825 Vol.
Michigan
20%
Arizona
19%
Duke
17%
Floride
10%
Houston
8%
Purdue
5%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
3%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
2%
Arkansas
2%
Saint John's
2%
Tennessee
1%
Kansas
1%
UCLA
1%
Nebraska
1%
Virginie
1%
Texas
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Michigan 20%
Arizona 19.4%
Duke 17%
Floride 9.8%
$22,032,825 Vol.
$22,032,825 Vol.
Michigan
20%
Arizona
19%
Duke
17%
Floride
10%
Houston
8%
Purdue
5%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
3%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
2%
Arkansas
2%
Saint John's
2%
Tennessee
1%
Kansas
1%
UCLA
1%
Nebraska
1%
Virginie
1%
Texas
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Utah State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Marché ouvert : Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's slight edge in trader consensus at 19.4% stems from coach Tommy Lloyd's elite 2025 recruiting class, including top-10 prospects like Dwayne Aristode, paired with significant returning production from K.J. Lewis and others, positioning them for Big 12 dominance. Michigan (18.5%) and Duke (16.5%) trail closely due to Dusty May's transfer portal wizardry bolstering Michigan's frontcourt and Duke's perennial pipeline of McDonald's All-Americans under Jon Scheyer, though both face roster flux from the offseason portal. Florida and Houston round out the top five with defensive identities and SEC/Big 12 toughness, but parity persists amid unproven freshmen integration, transfer acclimation, and the wide-open nature of March Madness paths—no dominant superteam has emerged to pull away.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes