Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title after its dominant 21-point Sweet 16 rout of No. 4 Arkansas, advancing to a marquee Elite Eight matchup against Purdue in the West Region. Michigan and Duke lurk close behind, having advanced as No. 1 seeds with Sweet 16 wins over Alabama and St. John's, respectively, buoyed by stellar regular-season records—Duke atop the final AP Poll at 32-2, Arizona second at 32-2, and Michigan third at 31-3. Illinois sits fourth at 12% implied probability amid its own bracket surge, while the top trio's favorable paths to the Final Four, balanced by tough regional foes and March Madness upset potential, keep the market tightly contested among proven contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourArizona 27.0%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,105,932 Vol.
$22,105,932 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
1%
Arizona 27.0%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,105,932 Vol.
$22,105,932 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Marché ouvert : Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title after its dominant 21-point Sweet 16 rout of No. 4 Arkansas, advancing to a marquee Elite Eight matchup against Purdue in the West Region. Michigan and Duke lurk close behind, having advanced as No. 1 seeds with Sweet 16 wins over Alabama and St. John's, respectively, buoyed by stellar regular-season records—Duke atop the final AP Poll at 32-2, Arizona second at 32-2, and Michigan third at 31-3. Illinois sits fourth at 12% implied probability amid its own bracket surge, while the top trio's favorable paths to the Final Four, balanced by tough regional foes and March Madness upset potential, keep the market tightly contested among proven contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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