2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4

Inscrit févr. 2025·1.1K vues

$3,048.17

Valeur des positions

$188.40

Plus gros gain

854

Marchés tradés

PnL total: +$1,239.22
Volume total: 209.4K

Profit/Perte

$12.29

Jour Précédent

Marché

Moy.

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

1,408.4 actions

92.1¢

96.2¢

$1,354.86$57.68 (4.45%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 92.1¢

1,408.4 actions

$1,354.86$57.68 (4.45%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 83.2¢

570.0 actions

83.2¢

76.5¢

$436.06-$38.47 (-8.11%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 83.2¢

570.0 actions

$436.06-$38.47 (-8.11%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 82.2¢

300.0 actions

82.2¢

93.5¢

$280.50$34.00 (13.79%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 82.2¢

300.0 actions

$280.50$34.00 (13.79%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

203.3 actions

96.7¢

98.9¢

$201.09$4.56 (2.32%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 96.7¢

203.3 actions

$201.09$4.56 (2.32%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

No 33.1¢

377.9 actions

33.1¢

43.5¢

$164.40$39.23 (31.34%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

No 33.1¢

377.9 actions

$164.40$39.23 (31.34%)

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 85.5¢

191.0 actions

85.5¢

72.5¢

$138.48-$24.89 (-15.24%)

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 85.5¢

191.0 actions

$138.48-$24.89 (-15.24%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?

No 91.2¢

120.0 actions

91.2¢

99.6¢

$119.51$10.12 (9.25%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?

No 91.2¢

120.0 actions

$119.51$10.12 (9.25%)

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 93¢

100.0 actions

93¢

93.1¢

$93.10$0.10 (0.11%)

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 93¢

100.0 actions

$93.10$0.10 (0.11%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84¢

100.0 actions

84¢

90.5¢

$90.50$6.50 (7.74%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84¢

100.0 actions

$90.50$6.50 (7.74%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 90¢

55.0 actions

90¢

98.8¢

$54.31$4.81 (9.72%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 90¢

55.0 actions

$54.31$4.81 (9.72%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 87.3¢

46.2 actions

87.3¢

97.4¢

$45.00$4.67 (11.57%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 87.3¢

46.2 actions

$45.00$4.67 (11.57%)

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 94¢

22.0 actions

94¢

97.8¢

$21.51$0.83 (3.99%)

Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 94¢

22.0 actions

$21.51$0.83 (3.99%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 25.6¢

70.1 actions

25.6¢

25.5¢

$17.87-$0.04 (-0.2%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 25.6¢

70.1 actions

$17.87-$0.04 (-0.2%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

No 70¢

20.0 actions

70¢

71.5¢

$14.30$0.30 (2.14%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

No 70¢

20.0 actions

$14.30$0.30 (2.14%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 68¢

20.0 actions

68¢

58.5¢

$11.70-$1.90 (-13.97%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 68¢

20.0 actions

$11.70-$1.90 (-13.97%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 92¢

5.0 actions

92¢

99.8¢

$4.99$0.39 (8.42%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 92¢

5.0 actions

$4.99$0.39 (8.42%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes 2¢

1,486.4 actions

2¢

0¢

$0.00-$29.71 (-100%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes 2¢

1,486.4 actions

$0.00-$29.71 (-100%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 24.4¢

185.0 actions

24.4¢

0¢

$0.00-$45.21 (-100%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 24.4¢

185.0 actions

$0.00-$45.21 (-100%)

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 85¢

100.0 actions

85¢

0¢

$0.00-$85.00 (-100%)

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 85¢

100.0 actions

$0.00-$85.00 (-100%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?

No 99.6¢

30.0 actions

99.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$29.88 (-100%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?

No 99.6¢

30.0 actions

$0.00-$29.88 (-100%)