France holds an 78% implied probability to top Group I after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal, powered by a Kylian Mbappé brace, while Norway sits atop the early table on goal difference following a 4-1 rout of Iraq featuring Erling Haaland’s brace in his World Cup debut. France’s deeper squad, superior recent form, and favorable remaining schedule—highlighted by an expected win over Iraq—underpin trader consensus despite Norway’s attacking threat. Norway’s 21.5% chance reflects strong momentum but a tougher path including a decisive clash with France. Senegal and Iraq trail with minimal win probabilities after heavy opening defeats, facing elimination risks in their final two matches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Group I Winner
World Cup Group I Winner
France 78%
Norway 22%
Senegal 1.4%
Iraq <1%
$798,649 Wol.
$798,649 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
78%
Norway
22%
Senegal
1%
Iraq
<1%
France 78%
Norway 22%
Senegal 1.4%
Iraq <1%
$798,649 Wol.
$798,649 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$409,359 Wol.
78%
Norway
$112,260 Wol.
22%
Senegal
$145,204 Wol.
1%
Iraq
$131,827 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds an 78% implied probability to top Group I after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal, powered by a Kylian Mbappé brace, while Norway sits atop the early table on goal difference following a 4-1 rout of Iraq featuring Erling Haaland’s brace in his World Cup debut. France’s deeper squad, superior recent form, and favorable remaining schedule—highlighted by an expected win over Iraq—underpin trader consensus despite Norway’s attacking threat. Norway’s 21.5% chance reflects strong momentum but a tougher path including a decisive clash with France. Senegal and Iraq trail with minimal win probabilities after heavy opening defeats, facing elimination risks in their final two matches.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$798,649Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds an 78% implied probability to top Group I after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal, powered by a Kylian Mbappé brace, while Norway sits atop the early table on goal difference following a 4-1 rout of Iraq featuring Erling Haaland’s brace in his World Cup debut. France’s deeper squad, superior recent form, and favorable remaining schedule—highlighted by an expected win over Iraq—underpin trader consensus despite Norway’s attacking threat. Norway’s 21.5% chance reflects strong momentum but a tougher path including a decisive clash with France. Senegal and Iraq trail with minimal win probabilities after heavy opening defeats, facing elimination risks in their final two matches.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$798,649Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds an 78% implied probability to top Group I after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal, powered by a Kylian Mbappé brace, while Norway sits atop the early table on goal difference following a 4-1 rout of Iraq featuring Erling Haaland’s brace in his World Cup debut. France’s deeper squad, superior recent form, and favorable remaining schedule—highlighted by an expected win over Iraq—underpin trader consensus despite Norway’s attacking threat. Norway’s 21.5% chance reflects strong momentum but a tougher path including a decisive clash with France. Senegal and Iraq trail with minimal win probabilities after heavy opening defeats, facing elimination risks in their final two matches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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