France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Winner
Francja 18.4%
Hiszpania 13.7%
Anglia 12.8%
Argentyna 11.8%
$2,667,533,746 Wol.
$2,667,533,746 Wol.

Francja
18%

Hiszpania
14%

Anglia
13%

Argentyna
12%

Portugalia
7%

Brazylia
7%

Niemcy
6%

Holandia
4%

Norwegia
3%

Maroko
3%

USA
2%

Kolumbia
2%

Japonia
2%

Meksyk
2%

Belgia
2%

Szwajcaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Senegal
1%

Sweden
1%

Turcja
<1%

Ekwador
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Australia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 18.4%
Hiszpania 13.7%
Anglia 12.8%
Argentyna 11.8%
$2,667,533,746 Wol.
$2,667,533,746 Wol.

Francja
18%

Hiszpania
14%

Anglia
13%

Argentyna
12%

Portugalia
7%

Brazylia
7%

Niemcy
6%

Holandia
4%

Norwegia
3%

Maroko
3%

USA
2%

Kolumbia
2%

Japonia
2%

Meksyk
2%

Belgia
2%

Szwajcaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Senegal
1%

Sweden
1%

Turcja
<1%

Ekwador
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Australia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania