Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Winner
Hiszpania 16.9%
Francja 16.6%
Anglia 11.2%
Portugalia 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Wol.
$1,289,602,246 Wol.

Hiszpania
17%

Francja
17%

Anglia
11%

Portugalia
10%

Brazylia
9%

Argentyna
9%

Niemcy
5%

Holandia
4%

Norwegia
3%

Kolumbia
2%

Japonia
2%

Belgia
2%

Maroko
1%

Szwajcaria
1%

USA
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Meksyk
1%

Ekwador
1%

Croatia
1%

Turcja
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Hiszpania 16.9%
Francja 16.6%
Anglia 11.2%
Portugalia 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Wol.
$1,289,602,246 Wol.

Hiszpania
17%

Francja
17%

Anglia
11%

Portugalia
10%

Brazylia
9%

Argentyna
9%

Niemcy
5%

Holandia
4%

Norwegia
3%

Kolumbia
2%

Japonia
2%

Belgia
2%

Maroko
1%

Szwajcaria
1%

USA
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Meksyk
1%

Ekwador
1%

Croatia
1%

Turcja
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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