Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI, which followed with its own submission a week later, fueling trader consensus around the 73% implied probability for Anthropic to reach public markets first. Both AI labs are targeting potential late-2026 debuts amid massive valuations exceeding $900 billion, but Anthropic's earlier paperwork submission accelerates its SEC review timeline and reflects aggressive preparation backed by recent large-scale funding rounds. OpenAI's more measured approach, including statements emphasizing private-company priorities and possible 2027 considerations, introduces relative uncertainty despite its scale. Key near-term catalysts include the pace of regulatory feedback, broader market conditions for mega-cap tech listings, and any updates on product milestones or leadership moves that could influence final timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic
$171,244 Vol.
$171,244 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$171,244 Vol.
$171,244 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI, which followed with its own submission a week later, fueling trader consensus around the 73% implied probability for Anthropic to reach public markets first. Both AI labs are targeting potential late-2026 debuts amid massive valuations exceeding $900 billion, but Anthropic's earlier paperwork submission accelerates its SEC review timeline and reflects aggressive preparation backed by recent large-scale funding rounds. OpenAI's more measured approach, including statements emphasizing private-company priorities and possible 2027 considerations, introduces relative uncertainty despite its scale. Key near-term catalysts include the pace of regulatory feedback, broader market conditions for mega-cap tech listings, and any updates on product milestones or leadership moves that could influence final timing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$171,244Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI, which followed with its own submission a week later, fueling trader consensus around the 73% implied probability for Anthropic to reach public markets first. Both AI labs are targeting potential late-2026 debuts amid massive valuations exceeding $900 billion, but Anthropic's earlier paperwork submission accelerates its SEC review timeline and reflects aggressive preparation backed by recent large-scale funding rounds. OpenAI's more measured approach, including statements emphasizing private-company priorities and possible 2027 considerations, introduces relative uncertainty despite its scale. Key near-term catalysts include the pace of regulatory feedback, broader market conditions for mega-cap tech listings, and any updates on product milestones or leadership moves that could influence final timing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$171,244Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI, which followed with its own submission a week later, fueling trader consensus around the 73% implied probability for Anthropic to reach public markets first. Both AI labs are targeting potential late-2026 debuts amid massive valuations exceeding $900 billion, but Anthropic's earlier paperwork submission accelerates its SEC review timeline and reflects aggressive preparation backed by recent large-scale funding rounds. OpenAI's more measured approach, including statements emphasizing private-company priorities and possible 2027 considerations, introduces relative uncertainty despite its scale. Key near-term catalysts include the pace of regulatory feedback, broader market conditions for mega-cap tech listings, and any updates on product milestones or leadership moves that could influence final timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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