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Teknologi·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Teknologi·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$362,082 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$362,082 Vol.

Polymarket

45%+

$162,525 Vol.

47%

50%+

$31,787 Vol.

26%

55%+

$25,864 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 with adaptive reasoning and max-effort modes, currently lead or rank near the top of Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards at 45–53% accuracy, ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 series models. This positioning stems from 2026 releases emphasizing deeper chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and targeted training on expert-level academic tasks, building on earlier gains from single-digit scores in 2025. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders focus on whether Anthropic will release or optimize another iteration before then, as even modest gains in calibration or multi-step problem-solving could solidify or extend its edge on the 2,500-question benchmark. Competitive pressure from Google and OpenAI updates remains a key swing factor in this narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$362,082
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 with adaptive reasoning and max-effort modes, currently lead or rank near the top of Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards at 45–53% accuracy, ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 series models. This positioning stems from 2026 releases emphasizing deeper chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and targeted training on expert-level academic tasks, building on earlier gains from single-digit scores in 2025. With the June 30 deadline approaching, traders focus on whether Anthropic will release or optimize another iteration before then, as even modest gains in calibration or multi-step problem-solving could solidify or extend its edge on the 2,500-question benchmark. Competitive pressure from Google and OpenAI updates remains a key swing factor in this narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$362,082
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "30%+" di 100%, diikuti oleh "35%+" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $362.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah "30%+" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "35%+" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.