Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state’s strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal races. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who filed for reelection in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition, benefits from name recognition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though a national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate emergence could still shift the narrow window for an upset before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateVT-AL House Election Winner
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district has remained under continuous Democratic control since 1990, reflecting the state’s strong partisan lean and consistent voter patterns in federal races. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, who filed for reelection in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition, benefits from name recognition and the absence of competitive Republican challengers ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though a national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected candidate emergence could still shift the narrow window for an upset before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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