Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22 amid mixed catalysts, including a 14,500-unit Model Y recall over a missing weight certification label and selective price increases, offset by Full Self-Driving shifting to subscription-only in Europe and a modest Norway sales win. With the week of May 25 close still days away and implied probabilities clustered tightly between the >$440 outcome at 49.5% and several $395–$435 ranges at 43–46.5%, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers such as potential China regulatory updates, energy storage margins, and broader equity sentiment tied to Treasury yields. This tight distribution reflects the market’s pricing of execution risks around autonomy timelines versus current automotive fundamentals, with upcoming sales data likely to influence positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour>$440 50%
$405-$410 47%
$410-$415 46%
<$395 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 mai 2026
<$395
46%
$395-$400
46%
$400-$405
46%
$405-$410
47%
$410-$415
46%
$415-$420
46%
$420-$425
46%
$425-$430
46%
$430-$435
46%
$435-$440
46%
>$440
50%
>$440 50%
$405-$410 47%
$410-$415 46%
<$395 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 mai 2026
<$395
$0 Vol.
46%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
46%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
46%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
47%
$410-$415
$0 Vol.
46%
$415-$420
$0 Vol.
46%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
46%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
46%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
46%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
46%
>$440
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22 amid mixed catalysts, including a 14,500-unit Model Y recall over a missing weight certification label and selective price increases, offset by Full Self-Driving shifting to subscription-only in Europe and a modest Norway sales win. With the week of May 25 close still days away and implied probabilities clustered tightly between the >$440 outcome at 49.5% and several $395–$435 ranges at 43–46.5%, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers such as potential China regulatory updates, energy storage margins, and broader equity sentiment tied to Treasury yields. This tight distribution reflects the market’s pricing of execution risks around autonomy timelines versus current automotive fundamentals, with upcoming sales data likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : May 22, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
29 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 6:13 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22 amid mixed catalysts, including a 14,500-unit Model Y recall over a missing weight certification label and selective price increases, offset by Full Self-Driving shifting to subscription-only in Europe and a modest Norway sales win. With the week of May 25 close still days away and implied probabilities clustered tightly between the >$440 outcome at 49.5% and several $395–$435 ranges at 43–46.5%, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers such as potential China regulatory updates, energy storage margins, and broader equity sentiment tied to Treasury yields. This tight distribution reflects the market’s pricing of execution risks around autonomy timelines versus current automotive fundamentals, with upcoming sales data likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
29 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 6:13 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at $426.01 on May 22 amid mixed catalysts, including a 14,500-unit Model Y recall over a missing weight certification label and selective price increases, offset by Full Self-Driving shifting to subscription-only in Europe and a modest Norway sales win. With the week of May 25 close still days away and implied probabilities clustered tightly between the >$440 outcome at 49.5% and several $395–$435 ranges at 43–46.5%, traders appear focused on near-term volatility drivers such as potential China regulatory updates, energy storage margins, and broader equity sentiment tied to Treasury yields. This tight distribution reflects the market’s pricing of execution risks around autonomy timelines versus current automotive fundamentals, with upcoming sales data likely to influence positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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