Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May 19 primaries. The district’s R+19 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins—including a 38-point Trump victory in 2024 and Meuser’s 70.5% reelection that year—underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established position. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,622 交易量
$16,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$16,622 交易量
$16,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,183 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,440 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May 19 primaries. The district’s R+19 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins—including a 38-point Trump victory in 2024 and Meuser’s 70.5% reelection that year—underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established position. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,622结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May 19 primaries. The district’s R+19 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins—including a 38-point Trump victory in 2024 and Meuser’s 70.5% reelection that year—underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established position. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,622结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May 19 primaries. The district’s R+19 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins—including a 38-point Trump victory in 2024 and Meuser’s 70.5% reelection that year—underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent’s established position. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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