Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district. Both candidates advanced from their May 19 primaries. The district's R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 38-point margin there in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning reflected in trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with its history as one of the state's most reliably conservative districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make such changes unlikely to flip the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,653 交易量
$16,653 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$16,653 交易量
$16,653 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,213 交易量
96%
民主党
$7,440 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district. Both candidates advanced from their May 19 primaries. The district's R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 38-point margin there in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning reflected in trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with its history as one of the state's most reliably conservative districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make such changes unlikely to flip the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,653结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district. Both candidates advanced from their May 19 primaries. The district's R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 38-point margin there in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning reflected in trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with its history as one of the state's most reliably conservative districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make such changes unlikely to flip the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,653结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district. Both candidates advanced from their May 19 primaries. The district's R+19 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 38-point margin there in 2024 underpin the strong Republican positioning reflected in trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with its history as one of the state's most reliably conservative districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make such changes unlikely to flip the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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