Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin, issued alongside March 2026 results showing 74.9% actual margins, anchors trader sentiment amid sustained AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory and server DRAM. Higher average selling prices, a richer product mix, and ongoing cost reductions are expected to drive sequential expansion, with consensus estimates near 80% but recent momentum supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 85%+ outcome. Macro factors including tight industry supply and capital expenditure above $25 billion for the year reinforce pricing power through calendar 2026. The quarter ends May 31, with the earnings release serving as the near-term catalyst that will resolve the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated85%+ 48%
82.5%–85% 25%
80%–82.5% 15%
77.5%–80% 5.2%
<75%
4%
75%–77.5%
4%
77.5%–80%
5%
80%–82.5%
15%
82.5%–85%
25%
85%+
48%
85%+ 48%
82.5%–85% 25%
80%–82.5% 15%
77.5%–80% 5.2%
<75%
4%
75%–77.5%
4%
77.5%–80%
5%
80%–82.5%
15%
82.5%–85%
25%
85%+
48%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin, issued alongside March 2026 results showing 74.9% actual margins, anchors trader sentiment amid sustained AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory and server DRAM. Higher average selling prices, a richer product mix, and ongoing cost reductions are expected to drive sequential expansion, with consensus estimates near 80% but recent momentum supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 85%+ outcome. Macro factors including tight industry supply and capital expenditure above $25 billion for the year reinforce pricing power through calendar 2026. The quarter ends May 31, with the earnings release serving as the near-term catalyst that will resolve the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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