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Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

icon for IPOs before 2027?
Tech·IPOs

IPOs before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$6,119,595 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,119,595 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Cerebras

Cerebras

$387,616 Vol.

100%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$557,252 Vol.

94%

icon for Discord

Discord

$443,519 Vol.

60%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$216,263 Vol.

57%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$230,212 Vol.

28%

icon for Remote

Remote

$54,380 Vol.

31%

icon for SHEIN

SHEIN

$78,403 Vol.

19%

icon for Applied Intuition

Applied Intuition

$191,300 Vol.

23%

icon for WHOOP

WHOOP

$173 Vol.

20%

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Deel

$121,608 Vol.

20%

icon for Databricks

Databricks

$467,234 Vol.

20%

icon for Ledger

Ledger

$508,108 Vol.

17%

icon for Mistral AI

Mistral AI

$148,253 Vol.

16%

icon for Freddie Mac

Freddie Mac

$243,893 Vol.

14%

icon for Anduril

Anduril

$350,089 Vol.

14%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$9,195 Vol.

14%

icon for Rippling

Rippling

$117,108 Vol.

13%

icon for Glean

Glean

$44,599 Vol.

12%

icon for Celonis

Celonis

$207,715 Vol.

12%

icon for Fannie Mae

Fannie Mae

$161,134 Vol.

12%

icon for Anduril Industries

Anduril Industries

$30,014 Vol.

12%

icon for Ramp

Ramp

$143,880 Vol.

11%

icon for Epic Games

Epic Games

$70,995 Vol.

11%

icon for Ripple Labs

Ripple Labs

$145,535 Vol.

10%

icon for Anysphere (Cursor)

Anysphere (Cursor)

$96,990 Vol.

10%

icon for Vanta

Vanta

$130,365 Vol.

9%

icon for Canva

Canva

$35,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Revolut

Revolut

$56,567 Vol.

8%

icon for Stripe

Stripe

$249,632 Vol.

7%

icon for Waymo

Waymo

$51,238 Vol.

3%

icon for Brex

Brex

$210,299 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market reflects surging optimism for AI and space tech firms, driven by Cerebras Systems' April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion IPO targeting a $26.6 billion valuation amid $10 billion in orders exceeding capacity—pushing its implied probability near certainty with mid-May pricing imminent. SpaceX bolsters high odds via an early-April confidential SEC submission and planned June roadshow, fueled by Starship successes and capital needs for Mars ambitions. Discord and Anthropic maintain moderate positioning on prior filings, while OpenAI faces headwinds from growth shortfalls and massive CapEx hurdles. Watch Cerebras' listing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts before year-end resolution, though regulatory delays or market volatility could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,119,595
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution. This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "IPOs before 2027?" market reflects surging optimism for AI and space tech firms, driven by Cerebras Systems' April 17 S-1 filing and May 4 announcement of a $3.5 billion IPO targeting a $26.6 billion valuation amid $10 billion in orders exceeding capacity—pushing its implied probability near certainty with mid-May pricing imminent. SpaceX bolsters high odds via an early-April confidential SEC submission and planned June roadshow, fueled by Starship successes and capital needs for Mars ambitions. Discord and Anthropic maintain moderate positioning on prior filings, while OpenAI faces headwinds from growth shortfalls and massive CapEx hurdles. Watch Cerebras' listing and SpaceX updates as pivotal catalysts before year-end resolution, though regulatory delays or market volatility could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,119,595
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPOs before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cerebras" at 100%, followed by "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPOs before 2027?" has generated $6.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPOs before 2027?," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPOs before 2027?" is "Cerebras" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Once Upon a Farm" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPOs before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.