Traders are pricing the June gold futures settlement primarily around the $4,200–$5,000 zone, with the two leading ranges at 32.7% and 27.0% implied probability reflecting current futures trading near $4,500 amid ongoing consolidation. Recent strength in the U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have capped upside after January’s surge above $5,100, while persistent central-bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainty continue to anchor prices above $4,200. Inflation data and Federal Reserve communications on rate paths remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment toward either the upper or lower half of the current range before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 32.7%
$4,600-$5,000 27%
$3,800-$4,200 18.4%
$5,000-$5,400 11.6%
$954,816 Vol.
$954,816 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
18%
$4,200-$4,600
33%
$4,600-$5,000
27%
$5,000-$5,400
12%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
$4,200-$4,600 32.7%
$4,600-$5,000 27%
$3,800-$4,200 18.4%
$5,000-$5,400 11.6%
$954,816 Vol.
$954,816 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
18%
$4,200-$4,600
33%
$4,600-$5,000
27%
$5,000-$5,400
12%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders are pricing the June gold futures settlement primarily around the $4,200–$5,000 zone, with the two leading ranges at 32.7% and 27.0% implied probability reflecting current futures trading near $4,500 amid ongoing consolidation. Recent strength in the U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have capped upside after January’s surge above $5,100, while persistent central-bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainty continue to anchor prices above $4,200. Inflation data and Federal Reserve communications on rate paths remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment toward either the upper or lower half of the current range before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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