Gold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,520–$4,560 amid persistent central bank purchases and macroeconomic uncertainty that have anchored prices in the mid-$4,000s following 2025's sharp rally. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 ranges, reflecting trader consensus that near-term consolidation is likely while acknowledging upside risks from sustained official-sector demand and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. Geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging flows continue to support the structural bid, though recent volatility and any acceleration in Fed easing could widen the distribution toward higher bins before contract expiration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
4 200 $-4 600 $ 36.5%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 32%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 15.0%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 10.5%
$965,235 Vol.
$965,235 Vol.
<3 800 $
2%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
15%
4 200 $-4 600 $
36%
4 600 $-5 000 $
32%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
11%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
3%
5 800 $-6 200 $
2%
>6 200 $
2%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 36.5%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 32%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 15.0%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 10.5%
$965,235 Vol.
$965,235 Vol.
<3 800 $
2%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
15%
4 200 $-4 600 $
36%
4 600 $-5 000 $
32%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
11%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
3%
5 800 $-6 200 $
2%
>6 200 $
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures for June settlement currently trade near $4,520–$4,560 amid persistent central bank purchases and macroeconomic uncertainty that have anchored prices in the mid-$4,000s following 2025's sharp rally. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 ranges, reflecting trader consensus that near-term consolidation is likely while acknowledging upside risks from sustained official-sector demand and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. Geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging flows continue to support the structural bid, though recent volatility and any acceleration in Fed easing could widen the distribution toward higher bins before contract expiration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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