Gold futures currently trade near $4,500 per ounce as of late May 2026, placing the two leading Polymarket buckets in close contention and reflecting trader assessment of limited directional conviction ahead of June settlement. Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks and potential oil supply disruptions, continue to support safe-haven demand, while April CPI data running hotter than expected has reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing and introduced volatility. Central bank gold purchases remain a steady structural bid, though seasonal factors may exert mild downward pressure in June. Market-implied odds thus price a narrow trading range around current levels rather than a decisive breakout, with resolution hinging on any escalation or de-escalation in global risk factors over the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi l'or (GC) se règlera-t-il en juin ?
4 200 $-4 600 $ 35.5%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 33%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 16.1%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 7.4%
$982,501 Vol.
$982,501 Vol.
<3 800 $
2%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
16%
4 200 $-4 600 $
36%
4 600 $-5 000 $
33%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
7%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
2%
5 800 $-6 200 $
2%
>6 200 $
2%
4 200 $-4 600 $ 35.5%
4 600 $-5 000 $ 33%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $ 16.1%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $ 7.4%
$982,501 Vol.
$982,501 Vol.
<3 800 $
2%
3 800 $ - 4 200 $
16%
4 200 $-4 600 $
36%
4 600 $-5 000 $
33%
5 000 $ - 5 400 $
7%
5 400 $ - 5 800 $
2%
5 800 $-6 200 $
2%
>6 200 $
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Source de résolution
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures currently trade near $4,500 per ounce as of late May 2026, placing the two leading Polymarket buckets in close contention and reflecting trader assessment of limited directional conviction ahead of June settlement. Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks and potential oil supply disruptions, continue to support safe-haven demand, while April CPI data running hotter than expected has reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing and introduced volatility. Central bank gold purchases remain a steady structural bid, though seasonal factors may exert mild downward pressure in June. Market-implied odds thus price a narrow trading range around current levels rather than a decisive breakout, with resolution hinging on any escalation or de-escalation in global risk factors over the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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