Erdoğan's presidential term, secured in the 2023 election, extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitution, with no scheduled national vote or mandatory transition before the end of 2026. The ruling AKP maintains a parliamentary majority that supports continuity in leadership, while recent executive actions on economic policy and foreign affairs reflect ongoing institutional control rather than preparations for early departure. Trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" aligns with the absence of viable constitutional pathways, opposition momentum, or public signals indicating resignation or removal in the near term. Any shift would require unforeseen events such as health developments or sudden coalition realignments, which remain outside confirmed developments to date.