Trader consensus around a 99.7% probability that Chirayu Rana is not divorced reflects confirmed reporting that the former JPMorgan banker was never married, with sources close to the individual stating no wedding occurred despite earlier references to a relationship. Recent legal filings and media coverage of his ongoing defamation dispute with Lorna Hajdini have reinforced this baseline without surfacing any marriage records or dissolution proceedings. Market-implied odds price in the low likelihood of undisclosed personal status changes given public scrutiny of the case. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to unexpected revelations of a private ceremony or foreign jurisdiction filing that could alter resolution criteria before market close.