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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 16, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on this mild outcome amid stable high-pressure systems over the eastern Mediterranean. Historical March data from the Israel Meteorological Service shows average highs near 19.5°C, aligning with current projections of light northerly winds and minimal solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent updates confirm no heatwave signals, with sea surface temperatures supporting typical spring cooling. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly Shamal wind shift advecting warmer desert air, potentially pushing highs to 20-23°C, though model spread remains tight at ±1-2°C, underscoring low upset risk.

23°C or higher

22°C

13°C or below

14°C

15°C

16°C

18°C

19°C

21°C

17°C

20°C

Tiempo diario en Tel Aviv

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 16?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts position 12°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 39.5% for Seoul's highest temperature on March 17, reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting mild highs of 11-13°C under southerly winds and weakening cold fronts. Recent surface observations show daytime maxima climbing from 9-10°C earlier this week, aligning with mid-March climatological averages of 11.5°C while urban heat island effects boost localized peaks. The 29% odds on 13°C or higher gained traction after yesterday's updated runs indicating Pacific high pressure dominance, edging out 11°C (22.5%) as transient cloud cover recedes, though short-range uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing.

3°C or below

8°C

11°C

13°C or higher

6°C

7°C

4°C

10°C

5°C

9°C

12°C

Clima diario en Seúl

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus on Shanghai's highest temperature reaching 12°C (53.5% implied probability) or 13°C (35.0%) stems from the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project afternoon highs in this range amid persistent cool northerly winds and light cloud cover on March 17. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average maxima around 12°C, with recent surface observations indicating nighttime lows near 7°C setting up mild daytime warming under stable high-pressure influence. No tropical influences or fronts are expected, per NOAA global models, keeping 11°C (6.0%) as a cooler outlier unless unexpected marine layer thickens. Updated runs tomorrow could shift odds slightly.

5°C or below

13°C

15°C or higher

Clima diario en Shanghái

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a high temperature cluster of 74-75°F in Miami on March 17, driving its 37.5% implied probability as trader consensus. This reflects a weak cold front ushering cooler mid-level air and increased cloud cover, tempering typical March highs near 79°F amid lingering El Niño influences. Recent 00Z model runs and National Weather Service point forecasts align closely, with 72-73°F (21%) viable if marine stratus persists and 76-77°F (19.5%) possible under partial clearing. Surface observations from Miami International Airport show recent diurnal highs in the low 80s cooling progressively, heightening model agreement but with 2-3°F uncertainty typical for 5-day outlooks.

66-67°F

72-73°F

76-77°F

80-81°F

63°F or below

64-65°F

70-71°F

74-75°F

78-79°F

82°F or higher

68-69°F

El tiempo en Miami a diario

Highest temperature in Miami on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 56°F or higher in Seattle on March 16 at 77.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting upper 50s amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering warm air advection from the California interior. Seattle's March climatological average high hovers around 55°F, but current upper-air patterns—confirmed by recent GFS and ECMWF model runs—feature southerly flow overriding typical cool marine layers, positioning 54-55°F (18.5%) as the next likely bin. Ensemble forecasts have trended 1-2°F warmer since yesterday, reducing odds for cooler 52-53°F outcomes (2.5%); watch for afternoon updates as surface observations refine peak heating estimates.

37°F o menos

38-39°F

42-43°F

52-53°F

54-55°F

56°F o más

40-41°F

50-51°F

44-45°F

46-47°F

48-49°F

Clima diario en Seattle

¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 16 de marzo?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus favors 20°C as Wellington's highest temperature on March 17 at 48.5% implied probability, driven by MetService's latest forecast predicting a daytime high of exactly 20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing extremes. Supporting this, seasonal climatology shows March highs averaging 19.8°C from NIWA records, with recent observations indicating mild southerlies moderating warmth after a cooler spell earlier this week. The 21°C option (27%) reflects slight upside risk from potential northerly gusts in ECMWF ensemble models, while 19°C (19%) accounts for downside from coastal fog persistence. Updated GFS runs released yesterday reinforce this tight clustering around 20°C, narrowing uncertainty ahead of the date.

Clima diario en Wellington

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader sentiment favors 14°C (39.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on March 17, propelled by the latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ECMWF models converging on mild early-spring highs amid a high-pressure ridge over eastern Japan. Average March highs hover around 13°C historically, but southerly winds and above-normal insolation under partly cloudy skies differentiate the leaders: optimal clear conditions could yield 15°C via enhanced solar heating, while increased cloudiness or urban boundary layer effects might limit peaks to 14°C, with 13°C reflecting cooler northerly outbreaks in model outliers. Short-term uncertainty stems from diurnal temperature range variability, typical for Tokyo's variable spring weather patterns.

18°C or higher

8°C or below

El tiempo a diario en Tokio

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus leans toward 24°C (33.5% implied probability) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 17, propelled by the latest ECMWF ensemble forecast averaging 24.1°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. GFS models cluster at 23°C (27.5%), reflecting slightly cooler boundary layer initialization, while 25°C trails at 13% due to expected afternoon sea breeze intensification capping coastal peaks. March climatology averages 21°C, but current synoptic stability—verified by Israel Meteorological Service observations—supports this tight clustering; traders eye final IMS updates and diurnal heating rates for resolution amid 1-2°C model spread.

23°C

26°C or higher

16°C or below

25°C

24°C

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus favors 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 17, with 49.5% implied probability, driven by recent NEA forecasts and ensemble models projecting peaks around 31-33°C amid the equatorial hot season. March typically sees average highs of 31.2°C, but urban heat island effects and reduced sea breeze from lingering El Niño patterns have pushed recent days—March 15 at 33.1°C and 16 at 32.4°C—toward the upper range, tempering odds for 33°C at 8.5%. Afternoon thunderstorms could cap peaks at 31°C (34%), per GFS and ECMWF updates showing 60-70% rain chance, introducing forecast divergence that traders are pricing in.

27°C

28°C

24°C or below

30°C

34°C or higher

26°C

29°C

33°C

31°C

32°C

Clima diario en Singapur

Highest temperature in Singapore on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus clusters tightly around -3°C (28.5%) as the market-implied leader for Toronto's highest temperature on March 17, driven by Environment Canada's GEM model ensemble mean hovering near -2.8°C amid a forecasted northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slight warming bias in recent 00Z runs (favoring -2°C at 21.5%) versus GFS outliers holding -4°C (25.5%) due to deeper cold air advection from polar vortex remnants. Historical March 17 highs average 3°C but with high variability (±8°C standard deviation), amplifying model spread; traders eye 12Z updates and potential snow cover insulating lows while capping peaks. Uncertainty remains elevated 7-10 days out.

-9°C

-5°C

-2°C

-10°C

-8°C

-7°C

-11°C or below

-3°C

-1°C or higher

-6°C

-4°C

Clima diario en Toronto

Highest temperature in Toronto on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus favors 14°C (38.5%) over 15°C (31%) and 16°C (13.5%) for London's highest temperature on March 17, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs under a high-pressure ridge ushering in Atlantic mild air. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: UKMO leans cooler at 14°C due to anticipated stratocumulus cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, while GFS outliers hint at 16°C if clearer skies prevail amid weak southerly flow. Historical March maxima average 11-12°C, but urban heat island effects amplify readings at Heathrow (resolution site); uncertainty stems from jet stream wobbles, with tomorrow's 12Z updates pivotal for position adjustments.

Clima diario en Londres

Highest temperature in London on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS peg Ankara's highest temperature on March 17 at around 15°C, driving the 51.5% implied probability for that outcome as traders align with the consensus maximum under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positions 16°C (28.5%) as a plausible upside if high-pressure ridges strengthen, while 14°C (16.5%) accounts for potential cooler outflows from recent northerly airflow patterns observed in early March data. Historical March highs in Ankara average 13-14°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, but mild seasonal anomalies—tied to a weakening polar vortex—have nudged recent model runs warmer, with the next 12z updates likely to refine these trader-implied odds further.

17°C or higher

7°C or below

Clima diario en Ankara

Highest temperature in Ankara on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus heavily favors 34°C (48.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 17, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting peak afternoon heat of 33-35°C under clear skies and strong solar insolation, following March 16's observed maximum of 33.2°C. Seasonal norms for Lucknow hover around 31°C in mid-March, but an ongoing dry spell and minimal cloud cover—boosting daytime warming via radiative heating—have elevated model outputs like GFS (34.2°C) and ECMWF (33.8°C). Urban heat island effects in the city amplify this by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Probabilities reflect tight clustering around 33-34°C, with official airport measurements resolving the market; watch IMD's evening update for shifts amid low wind and high pressure.

32°C or below

39°C

42°C or higher

34°C

36°C

37°C

38°C

40°C

41°C

35°C

Clima diario en Lucknow

Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus favors 22-23°F (32% implied probability) as Chicago's highest temperature on March 17, driven by the latest NOAA ensemble forecasts showing persistent Arctic air masses under a deep upper-level trough over the Midwest. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: ECMWF hints at slight warming to 24-25°F (28.5% odds) via weaker northerly winds and partial cloud cover, while GFS leans colder at 20-21°F (17%) with stronger pressure gradients enhancing chill. Historical March data at O'Hare averages 42°F highs, but this polar vortex remnant suppresses temps; watch 48-hour updates from NWS Chicago for resolution shifts as boundary layer mixing clarifies.

16-17°F

13°F or below

18-19°F

30-31°F

26-27°F

28-29°F

14-15°F

20-21°F

22-23°F

24-25°F

32°F or higher

Clima diario en Chicago

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader sentiment on Polymarket crowns 13°C as the leading high temperature for Shanghai on March 18 at 45% implied probability, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting daytime peaks around 13°C under northerly winds carrying cooler continental air masses from Siberia. Recent observations confirm this trend, with March 17 highs at 11-12°C—cooler than the historical March average of 14°C—due to a reinforced high-pressure system suppressing temperatures across eastern China. Nearby odds reflect model uncertainty: 12°C (18.5%) accounts for persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 14°C (17.5%) hedges on potential clearing. Watch CMA's next forecast update for shifts in these market-implied odds.

6°C or below

16°C or higher

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 18?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus favors 16°C (44.5% implied probability) as Paris's highest temperature on March 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs of 15-17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge channeling Atlantic warmth northward. Météo-France's most recent 12Z update reinforces this, showing southerly winds at 10-15 km/h boosting daytime maxima amid partly cloudy skies, while ruling out extremes below 14°C or above 18°C. Recent model convergence—following a slight warming trend in overnight runs—has elevated 16°C and 17°C (21.5%) odds over cooler 15°C (16.5%), contrasting March's typical 11-13°C average amid this season's positive anomalies from a disrupted jet stream. Uncertainty lingers from potential low cloud incursions.

20°C or higher

10°C or below

Clima diario en París

Highest temperature in Paris on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 33°C or below in Buenos Aires on March 17 (98.9% implied probability), driven by aligned forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, predicting peaks around 29-32°C amid mild autumn conditions with light southerly winds and scattered clouds. Historical March data supports this, with average highs near 24°C and exceedances above 33°C rare (less than 10% of days since 1961). A challenging scenario would require an abrupt shift to northerly foehn-like winds or a blocking high-pressure ridge fueling adiabatic warming, though current upper-air patterns show no such signals, keeping upside risks minimal at under 1%.

42°C

33°C or below

43°C or higher

Clima diario en Buenos Aires

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 17 clusters tightly around 46-51°F, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 48°F amid a lingering cool front from the northwest, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble models like the GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread—GFS slightly warmer at 50°F, Euro cooler at 47°F—reflecting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and morning low recovery from 35-38°F. Recent developments include stabilized upper-air patterns reducing wind shear, favoring 48-49°F (29.5% implied odds) over 46-47°F (26%), while 50-51°F lags due to below-normal seasonal baselines (historical March 17 average: 64°F). Watch afternoon NWS updates for resolution-defining peak hour shifts.

37°F or below

56°F or higher

Clima diario de Atlanta

Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 31°C (41.5% implied probability) as Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 17, propelled by leading ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks in the 30-32°C range under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and rainfall. Recent INMET observations show early March highs averaging 29-30°C with urban heat island amplification in the metropolis, while lingering El Niño influences sustain above-normal autumn warmth—historical March maxima average 28°C but have exceeded 32°C in 20% of similar ridge setups. Short-term updates from local soundings indicate low humidity persistence, positioning 32°C (21.5%) and 30°C (19.0%) as viable contenders if winds shift. Monitor 12-hourly model refreshes for volatility.

23°C or below

33°C or higher

Tiempo diario en Sao Paulo

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 17?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 52-55°F for Seattle's March 17 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 53°F under mostly sunny skies, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS. This marine west coast climate favors mild March days via Puget Sound moderation and Pacific high-pressure ridging aloft, suppressing extremes while allowing afternoon peaks via boundary-layer heating. The razor-thin edge to 52-53°F over 54-55°F reflects subtle model divergences on cloud persistence and light onshore flow, which could cap maxima by 1-2°F; historical March 17 averages hover at 54°F, but recent analogs with similar 500-mb ridge patterns yield 52-54°F outcomes. Upcoming 12z model runs may tip the scales.

Precipitation

¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en marzo?

¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?

Precipitation

¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en marzo?

¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?