Trader consensus favors Portugal at 54% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, driven by their superior squad depth and FIFA ranking despite Cristiano Ronaldo's absence due to a thigh muscle injury, alongside withdrawals of Rafael Leão (adductor) and Rodrigo Mora (thigh). The USMNT, hosting with home advantage, sits at 33% amid key defensive setbacks: Miles Robinson out with a groin issue for both Belgium and Portugal matches, Chris Richards sidelined by knee concerns potentially extending to Tuesday. Recent injury reports from the past week have tightened the contest, elevating draw pricing to 21% as experimentation looms in center back roles for players like Mark McKenzie and Auston Trusty under coach Pochettino.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Portugal at 54% implied probability for the March 31 international friendly at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, driven by their superior squad depth and FIFA ranking despite Cristiano Ronaldo's absence due to a thigh muscle injury, alongside withdrawals of Rafael Leão (adductor) and Rodrigo Mora (thigh). The USMNT, hosting with home advantage, sits at 33% amid key defensive setbacks: Miles Robinson out with a groin issue for both Belgium and Portugal matches, Chris Richards sidelined by knee concerns potentially extending to Tuesday. Recent injury reports from the past week have tightened the contest, elevating draw pricing to 21% as experimentation looms in center back roles for players like Mark McKenzie and Auston Trusty under coach Pochettino.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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