Portugal holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability for the international friendly at Estadio Azteca, driven by superior squad depth despite key absences like Cristiano Ronaldo's muscle injury, Rafael Leão's adductor strain, and Diogo Costa's withdrawal. Mexico, hosting at high altitude with home advantage, faces a steeper challenge after losing up to 12 regulars—including striker Santiago Giménez, midfielder Edson Álvarez, Luis Chávez, and goalkeeper Luis Malagón (Achilles tear)—per recent injury reports and Javier Aguirre's squad announcement. Recent FIFA window withdrawals have tightened the contest, elevating draw odds to 25.5% amid Mexico's depleted attack and Portugal's midfield strength via Bruno Fernandes and João Neves, while El Tri's resilience keeps their win at 21.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Portugal holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability for the international friendly at Estadio Azteca, driven by superior squad depth despite key absences like Cristiano Ronaldo's muscle injury, Rafael Leão's adductor strain, and Diogo Costa's withdrawal. Mexico, hosting at high altitude with home advantage, faces a steeper challenge after losing up to 12 regulars—including striker Santiago Giménez, midfielder Edson Álvarez, Luis Chávez, and goalkeeper Luis Malagón (Achilles tear)—per recent injury reports and Javier Aguirre's squad announcement. Recent FIFA window withdrawals have tightened the contest, elevating draw odds to 25.5% amid Mexico's depleted attack and Portugal's midfield strength via Bruno Fernandes and João Neves, while El Tri's resilience keeps their win at 21.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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