Tunisia's higher FIFA ranking (around 47th versus Haiti's 83rd) and extensive World Cup experience position them as the trader consensus slight favorite at 46% implied probability for this neutral-venue international friendly at Toronto's BMO Field, though key absences like midfielder Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring withdrawal and injuries to Dylan Bronn and Elias Achouri have tightened the market. Haiti's recent momentum—three wins in their last five matches, including 3-0 and 2-0 CONCACAF World Cup qualifying triumphs over Nicaragua—fuels their 23% underdog upset potential, bolstered by new call-ups like Wilson Isidor despite defender Carlens Arcus's injury. The elevated 30.5% draw pricing reflects both teams' mixed friendly form, lack of head-to-head history, and pre-World Cup 2026 preparations under new Tunisia coach Sabri Lamouchi.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tunisia's higher FIFA ranking (around 47th versus Haiti's 83rd) and extensive World Cup experience position them as the trader consensus slight favorite at 46% implied probability for this neutral-venue international friendly at Toronto's BMO Field, though key absences like midfielder Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring withdrawal and injuries to Dylan Bronn and Elias Achouri have tightened the market. Haiti's recent momentum—three wins in their last five matches, including 3-0 and 2-0 CONCACAF World Cup qualifying triumphs over Nicaragua—fuels their 23% underdog upset potential, bolstered by new call-ups like Wilson Isidor despite defender Carlens Arcus's injury. The elevated 30.5% draw pricing reflects both teams' mixed friendly form, lack of head-to-head history, and pre-World Cup 2026 preparations under new Tunisia coach Sabri Lamouchi.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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