Union Berlin's 45% implied probability as slight home favorite against St. Pauli reflects their dominant head-to-head record, including five straight home wins at An der Alten Försterei, bolstering trader consensus despite mid-table form (9th, 31 points from 27 games) and four losses in their last six. St. Pauli's underdog pricing at 25% accounts for a dismal away record (six losses in seven), relegation pressure (16th, 24 points), and a recent 1-2 defeat to Freiburg on March 22, compounded by injuries to defenders Eric Smith (calf), Lars Ritzka (shoulder surgery), Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and midfielder James Sands (season-ending ankle). Union's absences like Josip Juranović elevate the draw's 30% viability in this tightly contested Bundesliga clash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin's 45% implied probability as slight home favorite against St. Pauli reflects their dominant head-to-head record, including five straight home wins at An der Alten Försterei, bolstering trader consensus despite mid-table form (9th, 31 points from 27 games) and four losses in their last six. St. Pauli's underdog pricing at 25% accounts for a dismal away record (six losses in seven), relegation pressure (16th, 24 points), and a recent 1-2 defeat to Freiburg on March 22, compounded by injuries to defenders Eric Smith (calf), Lars Ritzka (shoulder surgery), Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and midfielder James Sands (season-ending ankle). Union's absences like Josip Juranović elevate the draw's 30% viability in this tightly contested Bundesliga clash.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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