Netherlands enter Group F as the clear market leader at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting their strong UEFA qualifying campaign, deep squad featuring established Premier League and Bundesliga talent, and recent friendlies that showcased attacking quality despite minor errors. Japan sits at 25.5% on the back of impressive March results, including victories over Scotland and England, which underscore their organized, high-pressing style and growing international pedigree. Sweden at 14.5% benefits from Viktor Gyökeres’ standout playoff performances and new coach Graham Potter’s early influence, though their qualification path highlighted inconsistencies. Tunisia’s 5.5% price aligns with their defensive reputation under Sabri Lamouchi but limited attacking output in recent friendlies. With matches beginning in mid-June, these pre-tournament form indicators and FIFA rankings largely shape current trader consensus.