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Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

Market icon

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 22, 2022. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.