Trump's single documented middle finger gesture occurred on October 27, 2024, at a North Carolina rally amid hecklers, with no repeats since his November election victory solidified trader consensus at 76.5% for "No" on a recurrence in 2026. Recent developments center on presidential transition priorities: cabinet nominations like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Scott Turner for HUD, alongside agency restructuring plans and policy executive orders, shifting focus from campaign trail antics to governance amid 2026 midterm preparations. Historical patterns show presidents adopting more restrained public postures post-inauguration, with upcoming events like the January 20, 2025, swearing-in and early legislative pushes reinforcing decorum over provocative gestures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Sí
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.Trump's single documented middle finger gesture occurred on October 27, 2024, at a North Carolina rally amid hecklers, with no repeats since his November election victory solidified trader consensus at 76.5% for "No" on a recurrence in 2026. Recent developments center on presidential transition priorities: cabinet nominations like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Scott Turner for HUD, alongside agency restructuring plans and policy executive orders, shifting focus from campaign trail antics to governance amid 2026 midterm preparations. Historical patterns show presidents adopting more restrained public postures post-inauguration, with upcoming events like the January 20, 2025, swearing-in and early legislative pushes reinforcing decorum over provocative gestures.
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.Trump's single documented middle finger gesture occurred on October 27, 2024, at a North Carolina rally amid hecklers, with no repeats since his November election victory solidified trader consensus at 76.5% for "No" on a recurrence in 2026. Recent developments center on presidential transition priorities: cabinet nominations like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Scott Turner for HUD, alongside agency restructuring plans and policy executive orders, shifting focus from campaign trail antics to governance amid 2026 midterm preparations. Historical patterns show presidents adopting more restrained public postures post-inauguration, with upcoming events like the January 20, 2025, swearing-in and early legislative pushes reinforcing decorum over provocative gestures.
Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively. Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.
Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.
AI-generated images or video will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's single documented middle finger gesture occurred on October 27, 2024, at a North Carolina rally amid hecklers, with no repeats since his November election victory solidified trader consensus at 76.5% for "No" on a recurrence in 2026. Recent developments center on presidential transition priorities: cabinet nominations like Pete Hegseth for Defense and Scott Turner for HUD, alongside agency restructuring plans and policy executive orders, shifting focus from campaign trail antics to governance amid 2026 midterm preparations. Historical patterns show presidents adopting more restrained public postures post-inauguration, with upcoming events like the January 20, 2025, swearing-in and early legislative pushes reinforcing decorum over provocative gestures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes