Name: Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Start: 2025-06-05T23:48:24.235334Z
End: 2025-06-30T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Donald Trump and Elon Musk make public statements clearly indicating a mutual reconciliation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Individual statements indicating reconciliation will not qualify unless reciprocated. 

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

President Donald Trump and Elon Musk, after a public feud involving personal accusations and policy disagreements, have scheduled a call to broker peace and potentially reconcile for the benefit of the country. Reports indicate White House aides are working to temper tensions, with Tesla shares surging in after-hours trading on news of the upcoming discussion.

Trump-Musk Feud Reconciliation

BREAKING: Karoline Leavitt on the Trump-Musk feud: "Elon can speak for his companies as a businessman, but President Trump has the responsibility to fight for our country." https://t.co/fFa2LfGDNC

Elon Musk and Donald Trump’s call tomorrow https://t.co/s3kYajelxG

JUST IN: Elon Musk agrees that he and President Trump should “make peace” for the benefit of the country in a reply to Bill Ackman.

Bill Ackman may have just done it again. https://t.co/6Q9wUHubTL

🚨BREAKING: President Trump’s team has arranged a call with Elon Musk tomorrow. https://t.co/jZBOJBjBC9

President Trump built this movement over 10 years. His supporters are NOT going anywhere. I hope Elon and Trump reconcile and do so privately. It would be good for the country and the world if they do.

@IngrahamAngle https://t.co/E3eNyF6n5o

BREAKING: Elon Musk agrees that he and President Trump should “make peace” for the benefit of the country.

🚨 #BREAKING: President Trump and Elon Musk are scheduled to have a call tomorrow, per multiple reports

PLEASE make this happen!

America needs these two working together 🙏🏻🇺🇸 https://t.co/gC9eR75rVt

BREAKING: Trump White House schedules call with Elon Musk tomorrow.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US President Trump and Elon Musk schedule call for Friday to "broker peace." https://t.co/1SHZVTNs8q

Donald Trump is unusually quiet today after Elon Musk accused him of being “in the Epstein files.”

Why?

Chris Cuomo just dropped a bombshell theory—and it makes complete sense.

If he’s right, this feud could explode into something much bigger.

🧵 THREAD https://t.co/O1ZrAxKAZR

🚨🇺🇸BREAKING: WHITE HOUSE SCHEDULES FRIDAY CALL FOR ELON AND TRUMP

Trump and Elon are signaling a more measured tone after their recent debate over the “Big Beautiful Bill,” Trump’s signature legislative package. 

In an interview with POLITICO, Trump projected calm, saying, https://t.co/LNTl8Mhxhf https://t.co/8QlOONT4OG

🚨 BREAKING: Elon Musk responds to Bill Ackman, agreeing that he and President Trump should “make peace” for the good of the country. https://t.co/Nr4fUaY6p7

$TSLA up 8.2% in overnight trading on Robinhood.

Politico just reported that Trump and Elon have a call scheduled for tomorrow (Friday) to try and broker a peace. https://t.co/mXM9tZTl2z

NEWS: White House aides, after working to persuade the president to temper his public criticism of Elon Musk to avoid escalation, scheduled a call Friday with Elon to broker a peace. https://t.co/2wkOYA3A3i

🚨 BREAKING: Tesla surges nearly 6.9% after-hours following news of a peace call between Elon Musk and President Trump set for Friday. https://t.co/zYYybPM5Rx

YouGov poll - % who say that if they had to choose, they would side with...

ALL:
Neither: 52%
Donald Trump: 28%
Elon Musk: 8%
——
Republicans:
Donald Trump: 71%
Neither: 12%
Elon Musk: 6%
——
June 5 (~6-10 pm ET) | 3,812 Adults 
https://t.co/vbVQB6VFBB https://t.co/4dses8M94G

Elon Musk deleted controversial tweets and issued an apology, while also exchanging positive remarks with Trump. This public reconciliation has sparked renewed optimism surrounding Tesla's outlook.

Elon Musk Apologizes

elon deleted his tweets and apologized

i was the only one who said this btw https://t.co/PtwWc5BQkN https://t.co/3Yb3zvZW0Y

Elon Musk said some nice things to Trump and deleted some nasty tweets

Trump now saying nice things back to Elon

Bullish $TSLA https://t.co/eo5pNEQtkm

President Donald Trump has publicly declared his relationship with Elon Musk over, warning of 'very serious consequences' if Musk funds Democratic candidates. The feud intensified with personal attacks, including Trump calling Musk a 'big-time drug addict' and Musk deleting posts accusing Trump of ties to Epstein files, though some suggest a reconciliation may be underway.

Trump-Musk Feud Escalates

HOLY SHT 🚨 In case you missed it Donald Trump defended Elon Musk against Fake News New York Times. Trump truly is wonderful man, pure class 

“I don’t want to comment on that. I read an article in the NYT, frankly, it sounded very unfair to him.”

I LOVE THIS MAN ❤️ https://t.co/CJbmfNe9KC

JUST IN: Elon Musk deletes post in which he claimed that Trump was named in the Epstein files

JD Vance on the Elon - Trump feud: 

President Trump took a bullet for this country. He is doing more than anyone to bring the American Dream back &amp; this bill is a big part of the agenda he promised. War between them isn’t good for America https://t.co/QZH550Oc8Z

BREAKING: Trump says Elon Musk will face 'very serious consequences' if he funds Democratic candidates

🚨BREAKING: The “Trump vs. Elon” Feud? Yeah… We Got Played. 🎭

What looked like a chaotic fight was actually a perfectly executed trap — and the left walked right into it. 😂

Here’s how it went:
1️⃣ Trump “disowns” Elon on CNN 📺
2️⃣ Elon pretends to beef with Trump on X 👀
3️⃣ https://t.co/0AOxwn2I35

Vice President JD Vance goes on Theo Von’s podcast and responds to Elon Musk’s posts about President Trump: 

“First of all, absolutely not. Donald Trump didn't do anything wrong with Jeffrey Epstein. That's totally bs.”

“I'm always going to be loyal to the president. And I hope https://t.co/5nJGETddT5

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says his relationship with Elon Musk is over.

.@JDVance was on @TheoVon when @elonmusk went nuclear on President Trump. He was asked during the interview what he thought about Elon accusing President Trump of being in the Epstein files.

Talk about awkward. 

Donald Trump is not in the Epstein Files. 

Do you really think https://t.co/qsGwHPFkaJ

🚨 BREAKING 🚨

ELON MUSK AND DONALD TRUMP ARE DELETING ALL POSTS POINTED AGAINST EACH OTHERS

MARKET WILL PUMP ON MONDAY 🚀 https://t.co/voxV8E58kB

JUST IN - Trump says Elon Musk will face "very serious consequences" if he funds Democrats, says his relationship with him is "over."

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says Elon Musk will face "very serious consequences" if he funds Democrats. https://t.co/VZnSXeSGPp

🚨 BREAKING - PRESIDENT TRUMP: If Elon Musk funds Democrats, "he’ll have to pay the consequences for that."

“He’ll have to pay very serious consequences if he does that."

Q: Do you have desire to repair the relationship?
DJT: "No."

Q: Is your relationship with him over?
DJT: https://t.co/5fp70MeulK

Trump: Elon Musk will face serious consequences if he funds Democrats

BREAKING: Trump says Elon Musk will face 'very serious consequences' if he funds Democratic candidates

https://t.co/yKuDm7eydL

Vice President Vance went on Theo Von’s show just moments after the Epstein allegations from Elon, and as always, he handled the situation with incredible poise and authenticity:

“First of all, absolutely not. Donald Trump didn’t do anything wrong with Jeffrey Epstein.”

“My https://t.co/Bt4iytowt6

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump called Elon Musk a "big time drug addict," WaPo reports. https://t.co/J76dyGkat5

Donald Trump and Elon Musk at UFC 316 tonight: https://t.co/64rG5O3SvK https://t.co/WPkYNfEnfb

🚨#BREAKING: The Wall Street Journal reports that President Donald Trump allegedly referred to Elon Musk as a ‘big-time drug addict’ during private conversations. 

Elon Musk also had a physical altercation with Bessent at the White House prior to his public feud with Trump https://t.co/FZOGGkVZw9

🚨 BREAKING: President Trump says his relationship with Elon Musk appears to be over, warning that Elon will face serious consequences if he funds the Democrats. https://t.co/CHZplubyJm

According to Elon, he worked to help elect a pedophile as president.

According to Trump, he gave an active drug addict access to our Social Security database.

🤷🏼‍♂️🤷🏼‍♂️🤷🏼‍♂️ https://t.co/aTRXQIjGAL

elon musk deleted this and every post calling donald trump a pedophile 💔 https://t.co/X9QWYX0zx3

BREAKING: Rep. Maxine Waters says Trump won the 2024 Election because Elon Musk hacked the Election https://t.co/UqR6hWA28K

Special Saturday Show: Elon Musk Retracts Incendiary Claims Against Trump, Signaling The Destructive Feud May Be Coming To An End! PLUS, The FBI Has Seized Fauci’s Covid-Era Phone - Tune In &amp; Share Now!

https://t.co/tBywBu3dF5

🚨 Elon Musk DELETES X post saying Trump is not releasing the Epstein files because he is in them.

👀

BREAKING: Donald Trump has said his relationship with Elon Musk is over, and he has more important things to do than talk to Elon, per NBC Interview

🚨🚨 Trump’s first comments about Elon today. 

He told NBC that Elon will face very serious consequences if he funds Democrats in 2026. https://t.co/fquTpVWhOp

Elon deleted his tweets about Trump and Epstein. The healing process is underway. It’s a reconciliatory gesture.

Like I said, there’s no going back. Trump will never trust Elon again. They can be cordial, but they’ll never be trust. That ship has sailed. https://t.co/wr6v5PuHzB

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Irá Elon Musk al programa de Joe Rogan antes del 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Reza Pahlavi by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Se reunirá Trump con Reza Pahlavi antes del 31 de enero?

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

¿Se cerró la fusión de Trump Media y TAE Technologies antes del 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Elon Musk rejoins Trump Administration
- Trump deports Elon Musk
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Elon+Musk+Edition.pdf

Nada Nunca Sucede: Edición Elon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Sun meets with Elon Musk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Justin Sun and Elon Musk are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Renunciará Trump antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Indultará Trump a Stefan Brodie antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


¿Se reunirá Trump con Delcy Rodríguez antes del 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

¿Respaldará Trump a algún candidato presidencial antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Jerome Powell by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Se reunirá Trump con Jerome Powell antes del 31 de enero de 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

¿Trump será sometido a un juicio político para finales de 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) unfollows Grimes (@Grimezsz) on X at any point between December 10, 2025, 2PM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If either of the ‘@elonmusk’ or ‘@Grimezsz’ X accounts are deleted or disabled this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk X account (@elonmusk), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Dejará Elon Musk de seguir a Grimes antes del 31 de enero?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Tucker Carlson entrevistará a Trump antes del 28 de febrero?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Trump elimina el impuesto a las ganancias de capital sobre criptomonedas antes de 2027?

On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by the listed date (ET).  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Trump se reunirá con Putin para el 31 de marzo de 2026?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Trump visitará China antes del 30 de abril?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Otro bebé de Elon antes del 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

An interview of Donald Trump by Joe Kernen is scheduled to air on January 21, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/CNBC/status/2012167755407999076

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or CNBC, or otherwise is not released by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Tesla say "Robotaxi" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

¿Trump respaldará a Steve Hilton en CA-Gov para el 2 de noviembre de 2026, hora del Este?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell antes del 31 de enero?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Truth Social" in January?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Trump y Putin no se reunirán?

On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.

This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.

This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Obtendrá Elon Musk la custodia total del hijo de St. Clair?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

¿Respaldará Trump a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.

A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Creará Trump un dividendo arancelario antes del 30 de junio?

An interview of Donald Trump by Katie Pavlich on "Katie Pavlich Tonight" is scheduled to air on January 20, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/NewsNation/status/2012890752905363662

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or NewsNation, or otherwise is not released by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Contexto del Mercado

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Reglas

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Contexto del Mercado

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Acerca de