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Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?

Market icon

Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?

Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support." This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market. If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support."

This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market.

If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volumen
$166,051
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2022
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support." This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market. If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support." This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market. If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support."

This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market.

If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volumen
$166,051
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2022
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
Per the UN, in the first week of the military offensive in Ukraine, "more than a million refugees from Ukraine crossed borders into neighboring countries, and many more are on the move both inside and outside the country. They are in need of protection and support." This market asks if there will be more than 4,000,000 Ukrainian Refugee arrivals between February 24, 2022 and March 24, 2022. If there are 4,000,001 or more Ukrainian refugees as measured by the resolution source by March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source to this market will be information provided by https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine. The number featured under the header "Refugee arrivals from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)*", found in the top right of the resolution source page will be the primary source used to resolve this market. If the resolution source URL changes, the new resolution URL will be used. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time for this market, March 24, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours - specifically the csv data will be totaled between February 24 and March 24, 2022, with the final check being on March 31, 2022, 8:00:00 PM ET. If the information remains unavailable at that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?" ha generado $166.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 7, 2022. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.