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Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

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Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession. If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022. Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession.

If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022.

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$104,780
Fecha de finalización
29 jun 2022
Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession. If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022. Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession. If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022. Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession.

If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022.

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$104,780
Fecha de finalización
29 jun 2022
Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
As measured by the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Q1 of 2022 saw a GDP shrinkage of 1.5%. A recession is often defined as “two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth". As such, if the BEA measures a shrinkage of the US's GDP in Q2, the United States will be in a recession. If the BEA reports an annual rate of change below 0.0% in real GDP from the preceding quarter for Q2 of 2022, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis, specifically the GDP release for Q2 of 2022. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product The BEA's GDP release for Q2 of 2022 is scheduled for July 28, 2022. Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in an advance estimate may be used to resolve this market, and this market will resolve upon the release of such an advance estimate. Data relevant to the resolution of this market may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?" ha generado $104.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 15, 2022. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.