Russian advances along the Pokrovsk axis in Donetsk Oblast have driven trader sentiment on Rodynske's potential capture, with forces reportedly entering the village's outskirts after seizing nearby settlements like Vodiane and Zelyanoye in recent weeks. Confirmed geolocated footage shows intensified assaults using glide bombs and infantry, pressuring Ukrainian defenses amid ammunition shortages and troop rotations. Traders weigh Moscow's momentum against Kyiv's fortified positions and incoming Western aid, with winter weather likely slowing operations. Upcoming events include potential U.S. aid disbursements and Russian mobilization updates, which could shift frontline dynamics; current odds reflect crowd consensus on these battlefield trends rather than certainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,321,094 Vol.
15 de septiembre
No
30 de septiembre
No
31 de octubre
No
30 de noviembre
No
31 de diciembre
No
31 de enero
No
28 de febrero
No
31 de marzo
Sí
30 de abril
Sí
$1,321,094 Vol.
15 de septiembre
No
30 de septiembre
No
31 de octubre
No
30 de noviembre
No
31 de diciembre
No
31 de enero
No
28 de febrero
No
31 de marzo
Sí
30 de abril
Sí
The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection+zoom.png
Intersection Location in Rodyns'ke: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection.png
Rodyns'ke location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oFYUB5RUaKXaPvVT9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian advances along the Pokrovsk axis in Donetsk Oblast have driven trader sentiment on Rodynske's potential capture, with forces reportedly entering the village's outskirts after seizing nearby settlements like Vodiane and Zelyanoye in recent weeks. Confirmed geolocated footage shows intensified assaults using glide bombs and infantry, pressuring Ukrainian defenses amid ammunition shortages and troop rotations. Traders weigh Moscow's momentum against Kyiv's fortified positions and incoming Western aid, with winter weather likely slowing operations. Upcoming events include potential U.S. aid disbursements and Russian mobilization updates, which could shift frontline dynamics; current odds reflect crowd consensus on these battlefield trends rather than certainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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