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¿Anunciará Rusia una tregua de Navidad?

<1% chance

$460,437 Vol.

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.

A qualifying announcement must:

The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.

The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.

The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
Volumen
$460,437
Fecha de finalización
Jan 7, 2026
Creado en
Dec 8, 2025, 1:55 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Anunciará Rusia una tregua de Navidad?

<1% chance

$460,437 Vol.

Acerca de

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.

A qualifying announcement must:

The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.

The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.

The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
Volumen
$460,437
Fecha de finalización
Jan 7, 2026
Creado en
Dec 8, 2025, 1:55 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.