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Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

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Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

0% chance
Polymarket

$120,728 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$120,728 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”.

GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.

Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$120,728
Fecha de finalización
May 31, 2023
Mercado abierto
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openai.com/

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”.

GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.

Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$120,728
Fecha de finalización
May 31, 2023
Mercado abierto
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openai.com/

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?" ha generado $120.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 17, 2023. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.