OpenAI has sustained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models, with GPT-5.5 Instant and related variants rolling out in April and May 2026 following GPT-5.4 Thinking and Codex-focused updates in March. These iterations emphasize improved reasoning, agentic coding workflows, tool integration, and reduced errors on complex professional tasks, helping maintain competitive positioning against rivals like Google Gemini and Anthropic Claude. Ongoing internal development and benchmark advancements support continued momentum, though product timelines remain subject to typical engineering and safety review delays. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should track official OpenAI announcements for any new flagship capabilities or naming shifts in the coming months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$13,464 Vol.
31 may 2026
31 de mayo
14%
June 30
87%
September 30
97%
$13,464 Vol.
31 de mayo
$2,300 Vol.
14%
June 30
$2,812 Vol.
87%
September 30
$8,352 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has sustained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models, with GPT-5.5 Instant and related variants rolling out in April and May 2026 following GPT-5.4 Thinking and Codex-focused updates in March. These iterations emphasize improved reasoning, agentic coding workflows, tool integration, and reduced errors on complex professional tasks, helping maintain competitive positioning against rivals like Google Gemini and Anthropic Claude. Ongoing internal development and benchmark advancements support continued momentum, though product timelines remain subject to typical engineering and safety review delays. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should track official OpenAI announcements for any new flagship capabilities or naming shifts in the coming months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Volumen
$13,464Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has sustained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models, with GPT-5.5 Instant and related variants rolling out in April and May 2026 following GPT-5.4 Thinking and Codex-focused updates in March. These iterations emphasize improved reasoning, agentic coding workflows, tool integration, and reduced errors on complex professional tasks, helping maintain competitive positioning against rivals like Google Gemini and Anthropic Claude. Ongoing internal development and benchmark advancements support continued momentum, though product timelines remain subject to typical engineering and safety review delays. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should track official OpenAI announcements for any new flagship capabilities or naming shifts in the coming months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$13,464Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has sustained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models, with GPT-5.5 Instant and related variants rolling out in April and May 2026 following GPT-5.4 Thinking and Codex-focused updates in March. These iterations emphasize improved reasoning, agentic coding workflows, tool integration, and reduced errors on complex professional tasks, helping maintain competitive positioning against rivals like Google Gemini and Anthropic Claude. Ongoing internal development and benchmark advancements support continued momentum, though product timelines remain subject to typical engineering and safety review delays. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should track official OpenAI announcements for any new flagship capabilities or naming shifts in the coming months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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