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Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?

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Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$26,771 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$26,771 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire holds the first US Democratic primary for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Caucuses, conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded are not considered for this market. Absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election will not be considered for this market.

If NH and another state hold the first primary election on the same calendar day, this market will still resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is official information from the New Hampshire Democratic Party and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$26,771
Fecha de finalización
Aug 22, 2024
Creado en
Sep 21, 2023, 4:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire holds the first US Democratic primary for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Caucuses, conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded are not considered for this market. Absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election will not be considered for this market. If NH and another state hold the first primary election on the same calendar day, this market will still resolve to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is official information from the New Hampshire Democratic Party and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire holds the first US Democratic primary for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Caucuses, conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded are not considered for this market. Absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election will not be considered for this market.

If NH and another state hold the first primary election on the same calendar day, this market will still resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is official information from the New Hampshire Democratic Party and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$26,771
Fecha de finalización
Feb 6, 2024
Creado en
Sep 21, 2023, 4:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire holds the first US Democratic primary for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Caucuses, conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded are not considered for this market. Absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election will not be considered for this market. If NH and another state hold the first primary election on the same calendar day, this market will still resolve to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is official information from the New Hampshire Democratic Party and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?" has generated $26.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 21, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.