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Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

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Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

Nancy Pelosi, Member of the US House of Representatives from California and present Speaker of the House, announced her intentions in April 2022 to visit Taiwan (Republic of China). Before she could initiate her trip, she tested positive for asymptomatic COVID-19, and her trip was postponed. Learning of this intended trip, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi was quoted in response: “If Pelosi, a political leader of the United States, knowingly visits Taiwan, it would be a malicious provocation against China’s sovereignty and gross interference in China’s internal affairs, and would send an extremely dangerous political signal to the outside world... If the United States insists on going its own way, China will surely make a firm response and the US side will bear all the consequences.” This market asks whether Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan between April 8, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. If Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan between April 8, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Nancy Pelosi physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Taiwan. Whether or not Nancy Pelosi enters Taiwanese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Nancy Pelosi or released by her verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/SpeakerPelosi), and official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://www.taiwan.gov.tw/news.php); however, other credible reporting may be considered.

Nancy Pelosi, Member of the US House of Representatives from California and present Speaker of the House, announced her intentions in April 2022 to visit Taiwan (Republic of China). Before she could initiate her trip, she tested positive for asymptomatic COVID-19, and her trip was postponed. Learning of this intended trip, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi was quoted in response: “If Pelosi, a political leader of the United States, knowingly visits Taiwan, it would be a malicious provocation against China’s sovereignty and gross interference in China’s internal affairs, and would send an extremely dangerous political signal to the outside world... If the United States insists on going its own way, China will surely make a firm response and the US side will bear all the consequences.” This market asks whether Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan between April 8, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. If Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan between April 8, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Nancy Pelosi physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Taiwan. Whether or not Nancy Pelosi enters Taiwanese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Nancy Pelosi or released by her verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/SpeakerPelosi), and official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://www.taiwan.gov.tw/news.php); however, other credible reporting may be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 11, 2022. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.