Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$8,880
Fecha de finalización
Aug 18, 2022
Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$8,880
Fecha de finalización
Aug 18, 2022
Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 10, 2022. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.