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Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?

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Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?

The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states. In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022. ---- This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market. Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states.

In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market.

Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
Volumen
$69,973
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2022
Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states. In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022. ---- This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market. Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states. In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022. ---- This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market. Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states.

In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market.

Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
Volumen
$69,973
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2022
Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
The Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) is a proposed bill in the United States Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act and to require the U.S. federal government to recognize the validity of same-sex marriages and interracial marriages. The Defense of Marriage Act is a bill former President Clinton signed into law in 1996 that recognized marriage as “only a legal union between one man and one woman as husband and wife” and allowed states to refuse to recognize same-sex marriages granted under the laws of other states. In July 2022, the Respect for Marriage Act was reintroduced to Congress with revisions, including protections for interracial marriages. The Act passed the House in a bipartisan vote (267-157) on July 19, 2022. ---- This market will resolve to “Yes” if "The Respect for Marriage Act" (H.R.8404) passes the U.S. Senate on the first vote before the resolution date, December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. If H.R.8404 is rejected by U.S. Senate on the first vote or if there is no vote held and finalized before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/8404, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market. Note, the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight on this market's resolution date. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?" ha generado $70K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 20, 2022. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.