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Will Fed end QT before May?

Market icon

Will Fed end QT before May?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,253,068 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,253,068 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
Volumen
$6,253,068
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
Volumen
$6,253,068
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Disputado

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Fed end QT before May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Fed end QT before May?" ha generado $6.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Fed end QT before May?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Fed end QT before May?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Fed end QT before May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.